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Active Learning of Continuous-time Bayesian Networks through Interventions

Linzner, Dominik ; Koeppl, Heinz (2023)
Active Learning of Continuous-time Bayesian Networks through Interventions.
Thirty-eighth International Conference on Machine Learning. Virtual (18.07.2021-24.07.2021)
doi: 10.26083/tuprints-00023308
Conference or Workshop Item, Secondary publication, Publisher's Version

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Item Type: Conference or Workshop Item
Type of entry: Secondary publication
Title: Active Learning of Continuous-time Bayesian Networks through Interventions
Language: English
Date: 2023
Place of Publication: Darmstadt
Year of primary publication: 2021
Publisher: PMLR
Book Title: Proceedings of the 38th International Conference on Machine Learning
Series: Proceedings of Machine Learning Research
Series Volume: 139
Event Title: Thirty-eighth International Conference on Machine Learning
Event Location: Virtual
Event Dates: 18.07.2021-24.07.2021
DOI: 10.26083/tuprints-00023308
Corresponding Links:
Origin: Secondary publication service
Abstract:

We consider the problem of learning structures and parameters of Continuous-time Bayesian Networks (CTBNs) from time-course data under minimal experimental resources. In practice, the cost of generating experimental data poses a bottleneck, especially in the natural and social sciences. A popular approach to overcome this is Bayesian optimal experimental design (BOED). However, BOED becomes infeasible in high-dimensional settings, as it involves integration over all possible experimental outcomes. We propose a novel criterion for experimental design based on a variational approximation of the expected information gain. We show that for CTBNs, a semi-analytical expression for this criterion can be calculated for structure and parameter learning. By doing so, we can replace sampling over experimental outcomes by solving the CTBNs master-equation, for which scalable approximations exist. This alleviates the computational burden of sampling possible experimental outcomes in high-dimensions. We employ this framework to recommend interventional sequences. In this context, we extend the CTBN model to conditional CTBNs to incorporate interventions. We demonstrate the performance of our criterion on synthetic and real-world data.

Status: Publisher's Version
URN: urn:nbn:de:tuda-tuprints-233085
Classification DDC: 000 Generalities, computers, information > 004 Computer science
Divisions: 18 Department of Electrical Engineering and Information Technology > Institute for Telecommunications > Bioinspired Communication Systems
Date Deposited: 31 Mar 2023 08:26
Last Modified: 25 May 2023 12:47
URI: https://tuprints.ulb.tu-darmstadt.de/id/eprint/23308
PPN: 50747838X
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