Quantification of uncertainty in technical systems is often based on surrogate models of corresponding simulation models. Usually, the underlying simulation model does not describe the reality perfectly, and consequently the surrogate model will be imperfect.In this article we propose an improved surrogate model of the vibration attenuation of a beam with shunted piezoelectric transducers. Therefore, experimentally observed and simulated variations in the vibration attenuation are combined in the model estimation process, by using multi-layer feedforward neural networks. Based on this improved surrogate model, we construct a density estimate of the maximal amplitude in the vibration attenuation.The density estimate is used to analyze the uncertainty in the vibration attenuation, resulting from manufacturing variations.

• Publisher-DOI

Keywords: Density Estimation, Imperfect Model, Neural Network, Surrogate Model, Uncertainty Quantification